Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

AI

Ashford Inc. (AINC)·Q4 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2023 revenue excluding cost reimbursement rose 27.1% year over year to $97.4 million; GAAP diluted EPS was $(4.36), and adjusted diluted EPS was $1.02; adjusted EBITDA was $13.2 million .
  • Sequentially, adjusted EBITDA improved to $13.2 million vs. $11.8 million in Q3, while GAAP diluted EPS worsened to $(4.36) vs. $(3.87) in Q3 2023 .
  • AUM ended the quarter at ~$7.5 billion (down from $7.9 billion in Q3), corporate cash increased to $30.8 million; loans were $141.1 million; fully diluted share count was ~8.4 million .
  • Management highlighted strong performance from INSPIRE and RED Hospitality and ongoing momentum at Ashford Securities; focus remains on growing third‑party business and AUM at advised platforms .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue momentum: Revenue excluding cost reimbursement grew 27.1% YoY to $97.4 million, supported by subsidiary strength (INSPIRE audio visual revenue $36.3 million) .
  • Subsidiary execution: INSPIRE posted $3.3 million Net Income and $3.9 million Adjusted EBITDA; Remington generated $13.1 million hotel management fee revenue and $5.1 million Adjusted EBITDA .
  • Capital raising platform: Ashford Securities raised $22 million for Ashford Trust in Q4 and ~$11.5 million (cumulative) for the Texas Strategic Growth Fund; CEO: “Our performance this quarter was led by solid revenue growth at INSPIRE and RED Hospitality… encouraged with the pace of capital raising at Ashford Securities” .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression YoY: Adjusted EBITDA fell to $13.2 million from $19.4 million in Q4 2022; adjusted EBITDA margin declined vs. prior year (see table), reflecting higher G&A and insurance-related loss adjustments .
  • GAAP loss widened sequentially: Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $(13.6) million vs. $(12.0) million in Q3 2023; GAAP diluted EPS of $(4.36) vs. $(3.87) prior quarter .
  • Insurance headwind: Products & Services recorded $19.1 million in losses and loss adjustments alongside $19.4 million premiums earned, constraining consolidated profitability .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2022Q3 2023Q4 2023
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$178.4 $181.2 $206.8
Cost Reimbursement Revenue ($USD Millions)$101.8 $107.9 $109.4
Revenue ex Cost Reimbursement ($USD Millions)$76.6 $73.3 $97.4
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($USD)$(3.65) $(3.87) $(4.36)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.65 $0.96 $1.02
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$19.4 $11.8 $13.2
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (% of Revenue ex CR)25.3% 16.0% 13.6%

Segment Breakdown (Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA)

SegmentQ4 2022 Revenue ($MM)Q3 2023 Revenue ($MM)Q4 2023 Revenue ($MM)Q4 2022 Adj. EBITDA ($MM)Q3 2023 Adj. EBITDA ($MM)Q4 2023 Adj. EBITDA ($MM)
Advisory$18.7 $19.1 $18.6 $12.5 $11.7 $11.9
Products & Services$155.2 $159.3 $185.7 $15.4 $10.0 $12.8
Corporate/Other$4.5 $2.8 $2.4 $(8.5) $(10.0) $(11.5)
Consolidated$178.4 $181.2 $206.8 $19.4 $11.8 $13.2

Subsidiary KPIs (selected)

Subsidiary KPIQ4 2022Q3 2023Q4 2023
INSPIRE Audio Visual Revenue ($MM)$34.2 $30.6 $36.3
INSPIRE Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$4.6 $0.8 $3.9
Remington Hotel Mgmt Fee Revenue ($MM)N/A$12.4 $13.1
Remington Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)N/A$4.7 $5.1
Premier Design & Construction Fee Revenue ($MM)N/A$7.4 $5.8
Premier Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)N/A$2.7 $1.7
RED Hospitality Revenue ($MM)$6.0 $8.4 $8.3
RED Hospitality Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$0.5 $0.9 $0.3

Guidance Changes

No formal quantitative guidance (revenue, margins, EPS, OpEx, tax rate) was provided in the Q4 2023 press release; the company reiterated strategic priorities without issuing ranges. The Q4 2023 earnings call transcript could not be retrieved due to a database inconsistency, so any guidance commentary in Q&A could not be assessed .

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q1 2024N/AN/ANo formal guidance
Adjusted EBITDAFY/Q1 2024N/AN/ANo formal guidance
EPSFY/Q1 2024N/AN/ANo formal guidance
Segment-specificFY/Q1 2024N/AN/ANo formal guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2023)Previous Mentions (Q3 2023)Current Period (Q4 2023)Trend
Capital raising (Ashford Securities)Passed $500M cumulative; 35 BDs/RIAs; AHT preferred issuance $50.6M AHT preferred issuance $76.8M; 40 BDs/RIAs; $2.5M invested in Texas fund AHT preferred issuance totaled $105M (incl. $22M in Q4); Texas fund raised ~$11.5M (incl. AINC $2.5M) Strengthening distribution, sustained momentum
Third‑party management growth (Remington/Premier)Remington 39% third‑party mix; Premier signed 76 third‑party engagements YTD Remington ~40% third‑party; Premier signed 5 third‑party engagements Remington ~44% third‑party; Premier signed 7 third‑party engagements in Q4 Continued expansion
Lodging/macro narrativeStabilizing industry; corporate/group rising, leisure softening “Normalization of leisure” impacting margins as staffing normalizes “Lodging industry continues to perform well despite normalization… and macro concerns” Stable demand; margin focus
Insurance operations (Warwick)Not presentNot presentPremiums earned $19.4M; losses/adjustments $19.1M New business; earnings headwind emerging

Management Commentary

  • CEO Monty J. Bennett: “Our performance this quarter was led by solid revenue growth at INSPIRE and RED Hospitality. Further, we continue to be encouraged with the pace of capital raising at Ashford Securities… we continue to focus on growing our third-party business… and growing our assets under management” .
  • Q3 context (Bennett): “While we reported solid revenue growth at INSPIRE, Premier and RED Hospitality, our margins were negatively impacted as those businesses resume more normalized staffing levels…” .

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q4 2023 earnings call transcript (Document ID 21 dated March 1, 2024) could not be retrieved due to a database inconsistency; therefore, detailed Q&A themes and any guidance clarifications from the call are unavailable for this recap .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global (EPS, revenue) for AINC Q4 2023 were unavailable due to missing Capital IQ mapping; as a result, we cannot conclusively assess beats/misses vs. consensus for this quarter [SpgiEstimatesError].

Key Operating KPIs

KPIQ2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023
Gross AUM ($USD Billions)~$7.9 ~$7.9 ~$7.5
Corporate Cash ($USD Millions)$21.9 $19.0 $30.8
Loans ($USD Millions)$122.4 $127.5 $141.1
Fully Diluted Shares (Millions)8.0 8.2 8.4
Base Advisory Fees ($USD Millions)$11.9 $11.5 $11.6
INSPIRE Audio Visual Revenue ($USD Millions)$41.3 $30.6 $36.3

Implications

  • Sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA suggests stabilizing operations, but YoY margin compression indicates cost normalization and insurance loss dynamics warrant monitoring .
  • Lower AUM vs. Q3 paired with higher corporate cash and rising loans implies a cautious balance sheet stance while growth initiatives (Ashford Securities, third‑party expansion) continue .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue ex cost reimbursement accelerated to $97.4 million (+27.1% YoY) on subsidiary strength, but adjusted EBITDA and margins contracted YoY amid insurance loss adjustments and higher G&A—focus on cost discipline and profitability mix is key .
  • INSPIRE and Remington remain growth pillars; watch INSPIRE’s margins and Remington’s third‑party mix (now ~44%) for durable fee growth .
  • Ashford Securities continues to execute (AHT preferreds reached $105 million, $22 million in Q4), providing an additional lever to grow AUM and fee revenues; monitor new product pipelines and distribution expansion .
  • Balance sheet: corporate cash rose to $30.8 million while loans increased to $141.1 million; track leverage and any refinancing plans across subsidiaries .
  • Insurance operations introduced premiums and loss adjustments in Q4—expect near‑term earnings variability as the business scales and claims mature .
  • With no formal guidance and consensus estimates unavailable, near‑term trading likely keys off subsidiary performance, margin trajectory, and capital raising updates; watch quarterly disclosures for signs of margin recovery and AUM growth [SpgiEstimatesError].
  • Medium‑term thesis hinges on diversified fee generators, third‑party growth (Remington/Premier), and product scaling (INSPIRE/RED); sustained execution should translate to improved adjusted earnings power .